All Issue

2024 Vol.57, Issue 9

Research Article

30 September 2024. pp. 571-583
Abstract
References
1

Allen, R.G., Pereira, L.S., Raes, D., and Smith, M. (1998). Crop evapotranspiration: Guidelines for computing crop water requirements. United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization, Irrigation and drainage paper 56, Rome, Italy.

2

Alley, R.B., Emanuel, K.A., and Zhang, F. (2019). "Advances in weather prediction." Science, Vol. 363, pp. 342-344.

10.1126/science.aav7274
3

Arnal, L., Cloke, H.L., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Prudhomme, C., Neumann, J., Krzeminski, B., and Pappenberger, F. (2018). "Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?" Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 22, pp. 2057-2072.

10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018
4

Azman, A.H., Tukimat, N.N.A., and Malek, M.A. (2022). "Analysis of linear scaling method in downscaling precipitation and temperature." Water Resources Management, Vol. 36, pp. 171-179.

10.1007/s11269-021-03020-0
5

Bauer, P., Thorpe, A., and Brunet, G. (2015). "The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction." Nature, Vol. 525, pp. 47-55.

10.1038/nature14956
6

Blöschl, G., and Montanari, A. (2010). "Climate change impacts - throwing the dice?" Hydrological Processes, Vol. 24, pp. 374-381.

10.1002/hyp.7574
7

Brier, G.W. (1950). "Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability." Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 78, pp. 1-3.

10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078<0001:VOFEIT>2.0.CO;2
8

Brown, T.A. (1974). Admissible scoring systems for continuous distributions. Manuscript P-5235, The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, U.S., p. 22.

9

Ciampittiello, M., Marchetto, M., Boggero, A. (2024). "Water resources management under climate change: A review." Sustainability, Vol. 16, pp. 1-14.

10.3390/su16093590
10

Coelho, C.A., and Costa, S.M. (2010). "Challenges for integrating seasonal climate forecasts in user applications." Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, Vol. 2, pp. 317-325.

10.1016/j.cosust.2010.09.002
11

Crochemore, L., Ramos, M.-H., and Pappenberger, F. (2016). "Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 20, pp. 3601-3618.

10.5194/hess-20-3601-2016
12

Day, G.N. (1985). "Extended streamflow forecasting using NWSRFS." Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, Vol. 111, pp. 157-170.

10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(1985)111:2(157)
13

Duan, Q., Sorooshian, S., and Gupta, V.K. (1992). "Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models." Water Resources Research, Vol. 28, pp. 1015-1031.

10.1029/91WR02985
14

Duan, Q., Sorooshian, S., and Gupta, V.K. (1994) "Optimal use of the SCE-UA global optimization method for calibrating watershed models." Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 158, pp. 265-284.

10.1016/0022-1694(94)90057-4
15

Ehsani, N., Vörösmarty, C.J., Fekete, B.M., and Stakhiv, E.Z. (2017). "Reservoir operations under climate change: Storage capacity options to mitigate risk." Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 555, pp. 435-446.

10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.09.008
16

Epstein, E.S. (1969). "A Scoring system for probability forecasts of ranked categories." Journal of Applied Meteorology, Vol. 8, pp. 985-987.

10.1175/1520-0450(1969)008<0985:ASSFPF>2.0.CO;2
17

Goldsmith, E., and Hildyard, N. (1984). The social and environmental effects of large dams. Random House, New York, NY, U.S..

18

Goodarzi, M., Jabbarian Amiri, B., Azarneyvand, H., Khazaee, M., and Mahdianzadeh, N. (2020). "Assessing the performance of a hydrological Tank model at various spatial scales." Journal of Water Management Modeling. Vol. 29, pp. 1-8.

10.14796/JWMM.C472
19

Greuell, W., Franssen, W.H.P., Biemans, H., and Hutjes, R.W.A. (2018). "Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe - Part I: Hindcast verification with pseudo- and real observations." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 22, pp. 3453-3472.

10.5194/hess-22-3453-2018
20

Joint Ministries (2023). 1st National water management master plan (2021-2030), pp. 1-17.

21

Kang, S.U., Lee, D.R., and Lee, S.H. (2004). "A study on calibration of Tank model with soil moisture structure." Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, Vol. 37, pp. 133-144.

10.3741/JKWRA.2004.37.2.133
22

Lee, Y., Peñuela, A., Pianosi, F., and Rico‐Ramirez, M.A. (2023). "Catchment‐scale skill assessment of seasonal precipitation forecasts across South Korea." International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 43, pp. 5092-5111.

10.1002/joc.8134
23

Lee, Y.S., and Kang, S.U. (2023). "Assessment of ECMWF's seasonal weather forecasting skill and Its applicability across South Korean catchments." Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, Vol. 56, pp. 529-541.

24

Leutbecher, M., and Haiden, T. (2020). "Understanding changes of the continuous ranked probability score using a homogeneous Gaussian approximation." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 147, pp. 425-442.

10.1002/qj.3926
25

Lucatero, D., Madsen, H., Refsgaard, J.C., Kidmose, J., and Jensen, K.H. (2018). "Seasonal streamflow forecasts in the Ahlergaarde catchment, Denmark: the effect of preprocessing and post-processing on skill and statistical consistency." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 22, pp. 3601-3617.

10.5194/hess-22-3601-2018
26

Maraun, D. (2016). "Bias correcting climate change simulations - a critical review." Current Climate Change Reports, Vol. 2, pp. 211-220.

10.1007/s40641-016-0050-x
27

Matheson, J.E., and Winkler, R.L. (1976). "Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions." Management Science, Vol. 22, pp. 1087-1096.

10.1287/mnsc.22.10.1087
28

Ou, X., Gharabaghi, B., McBean, E., and Doherty, C.(2017). "Investigation of the Tank model for urban storm water management." Journal of Water Management Modeling. Vol. 25, pp. 1-5.

10.14796/JWMM.C421
29

Risko, S.L., and Martinez, C.J. (2014). "Forecasts of seasonal streamflow in West-Central Florida using multiple climate predictors." Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 519, pp. 1130-1140.

10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.08.043
30

Shrestha, M., Acharya, S.C., and Shrestha, P.K. (2017). "Bias correction of climate models for hydrological modelling - are simple methods still useful?" Meteorological Applications, Vol. 24, No. 3, pp. 531-539.

10.1002/met.1655
31

Shrestha, S., Shrestha, M., and Babel, M. S. (2016). "Modelling the potential impacts of climate change on hydrology and water resources in the Indrawati River Basin, Nepal." Environmental Earth Sciences, Vol. 75, pp. 1-13.

10.1007/s12665-015-5150-8
32

Tabari, H., Paz, S.M., Buekenhout, D., and Willems, P. (2021). "Comparison of statistical downscaling methods for climate change impact analysis on precipitation-driven drought." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 25, pp. 3493-3517.

10.5194/hess-25-3493-2021
33

Tian, F., Li, Y., Zhao, T., Hu, H., Pappenberger, F., Jiang, Y., and Lu, H.(2018). "Evaluation of the ECMWF system 4 climate forecasts for streamflow forecasting in the upper Hanjiang River basin." Hydrology Research, Vol. 49, pp. 1864-1879.

10.2166/nh.2018.176
34

Yossef, N.C., Winsemius, H., Weerts, A., van Beek, R., and Bierkens, M.F.P. (2013). "Skill of a global seasonal streamflow forecasting system, relative roles of initial conditions and meteorological forcing." Water Resources Research, Vol. 49, pp. 4687-4699.

10.1002/wrcr.20350
35

Yuan, X., and Wood, E.F. (2012). "Downscaling precipitation or bias-correcting streamflow? Some implications for coupled general circulation model (CGCM)-based ensemble seasonal hydrologic forecast." Water Resources Research, Vol. 48. pp. 1-7.

10.1029/2012WR012256
Information
  • Publisher :KOREA WATER RESOURECES ASSOCIATION
  • Publisher(Ko) :한국수자원학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
  • Journal Title(Ko) :한국수자원학회 논문집
  • Volume : 57
  • No :9
  • Pages :571-583
  • Received Date : 2024-07-16
  • Revised Date : 2024-08-17
  • Accepted Date : 2024-08-23