Development of techniques for evaluating residual life of water pipes based on pipe deterioration evaluation results

Suwan Park; Kimin Kim

doi:10.3741/JKWRA.2017.50.10.673

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2017 Vol.50, Issue 10 Preview Page Next Page

Development of techniques for evaluating residual life of water pipes based on pipe deterioration evaluation results 관로 노후도 평가결과를 이용한 상수도 관로의 잔존수명 평가 기법의 개발

31 October 2017. pp. 673-679

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Abstract

In this paper a method for estimating the ‘service life’ and ‘residual life’ of a water pipe based on the Water Pipe Network Performance Evaluation(WPNPE) results of Water Supply Technical Diagnosis was developed for efficient maintenance of water pipes. The residual life of a pipe was defined as the difference between the service life and elapsed time since installation. The service life was defined as the time when a pipe reaches the reference score for determining deteriorated pipes that was used in the WPNPE. The pipe evaluation criteria and deterioration scores used in the WPNPE for the case study area were considered as independent variables in the multiple regression model for estimating the service life and residual life of the pipes in the area. To estimate the service life for the pipes the reference scores for determining deteriorated pipes were used as the values of the variables that represent the deterioration scores in the constructed regression models. Subsequently, the statistics of the service life and residual life of the pipes in the case study area were presented and analyzed in comparison with the service life defined by the Local Public Enterprizes Act.

Keywords

Residual life

Deterioration scores

Water pipe

Service life

Regression model

본 논문에서는 상수관로의 효율적인 유지 관리를 위해 상수도 기술진단에서 점수평가법으로 도출된 관망성능평가결과를 이용한 상수도 관로의 내구연수 및 잔존수명 산정 방법을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 잔존수명은 ‘모델에 의해 추정된 매설 후 최적교체시기까지 경과년수’를 의미하는 ‘내구연수’와 매설 후 경과년수의 차이로 정의하였으며, 내구연수는 관망성능평가기준으로 제시된 노후관로 판정기준 점수에 도달하는 시점으로 정의하였다. 연구대상지역의 관망성능평가에 사용된 평가항목들과 노후도 점수를 상수도 관로의 잔존수명 추정을 위한 다중회귀모델의 변수로 사용하였다. 잔존수명의 산정에 필요한 내구연수를 추정하기 위하여 구축된 회귀모델에 독립변수로 사용된 노후도 점수를 나타내는 변수의 값으로 노후관로 판정기준 점수에 해당하는 값을 대입하였다. 개발된 회귀모델을 이용하여 연구대상지역 상수도 관로의 내구연수 및 잔존수명을 산정하였으며 그 결과를 지방공기업법에서 제시하고 있는 내용연수와 비교하여 분석하였다.

키워드

내구연수

노후도점수

상수도 관로

잔존수명

회귀모델

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Information

Publisher :KOREA WATER RESOURECES ASSOCIATION
Publisher(Ko) :한국수자원학회
Journal Title :Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
Journal Title(Ko) :한국수자원학회 논문집
Volume : 50
No :10
Pages :673-679
Received Date : 2017-04-20
Revised Date : 2017-07-12
Accepted Date : 2017-08-18
DOI :https://doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2017.50.10.673

Journal of Korea Water Resources Association ISSN:2799-8746(Print) 2799-8754(Online) 한국수자원학회 논문집

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